Newcastle-under-Lyme

	07/06/2017	A 70.35.100.50
Heavily Leave seat, UKIP standing down, small Labour majority - this has all the makings of a reasonably comfortable Tory gain
	27/05/2017	V.F. 104.16.121.223
This seat has been labour since Josiah Wedgwood cross the floor to join them in 1919. However, the seat has been trending Conservative over the past few elections, and Labour only held by 2 points last time. Paul Farrelly has been a good MP and Owen Meredith has his fair share of detractors on his own side. Meredith is also West Wales living in London, a Metropolitan media person. But I am not sure that is enough to prevent a Conservative pick up.
	05/05/2017	JC 162.23.111.62
In the Staffordshire local elections, the Tories won up 51 seats (a gain of 17!) while labour only retained 10 (lost 14 seats). The collapse of the UKIP votes has undoubtedly helped the Tories. This massive swing, along with the high leave vote, bold very well for the Conservative.
	27/04/2017	Jack Cox 24.212.227.58
2% win by Labour last time. This is an Tory Pickup with their current poll numbers and with the fact there's a sizable UKIP vote that will go to the Tories.