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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Stoke-on-Trent South


Prediction Changed
2017-06-06 19:08:31
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Brereton, Jack

Flello, Rob

Wilkes, Ian

Zablocki, Jan

Incumbent:
Robert Flello

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
28.89 % vs. 71.11 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Flello, Rob*
1531939.2%
Rich, Joe
1278032.7%
Mahmood, Tariq
829821.2%
Andras, Peter
13093.4%
Bellamy, Luke
10292.6%
Wright, Matt
3721.0%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Flello, R.C.D.*
1544638.8%
Rushton, J.S.
1131628.4%
Ali, Z.
632315.9%
Coleman, M.
37629.4%
Barlow, M.H.
13633.4%
Follows, T.
12083.0%
Breeze, M.
4341.1%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
17046
8795
5478
Minor Parties3222
Other1801


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
With UKIP standing down, the Tories should pick up just enough votes to take this heavily Leave seat
27/05/2017 V.F.
104.16.121.223
This is the most vulnerable of the Stoke on Trent seats. With 70% Leave vote and no UKIP candidate, conservative will likely pick this one up.
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
In the Staffordshire local elections, the Tories won up 51 seats (a gain of 17!) while labour only retained 10 (lost 14 seats). The collapse of the UKIP votes has undoubtedly helped the Tories. This massive swing, along with the high leave vote, bold very well for the Conservative.
27/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
7 percent Labour win here last time. This is a seat that voted for Brexit 69% and there's a ton of UKIP vote to squeeze for the Tories. They should be able to pick this up.



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