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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Birmingham, Northfield


Prediction Changed
2017-06-06 18:49:07
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Burden, Richard

Harmer, Roger

Masters, Eleanor

Powell-Chandler, Meg

Incumbent:
Richard Burden

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
38.21 % vs. 61.79 %

2015 Election Result
Burden, Richard*
1767341.6%
Maclean, Rachel
1516435.7%
Rowe, Keith
710616.7%
Haynes, Steven
13493.2%
Masters, Anna
11692.8%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Burden, R.*
1684140.3%
Huxtable, K.S. Ms.
1405933.6%
Dixon, M.
655015.7%
Orton, L.J.
22905.5%
Borthwick, J.H.
13633.3%
Pearce, S. Ms.
4061.0%
Rodgers, D.
305 .7%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
20198
12015
5265
Other3225


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
Conservative Majority, 200 votes. I think Burden's vote will finally run out in this 62% Leave seat, particularly without UKIP
27/05/2017 V.F.
104.16.121.223
The Labour vote has been remarkably resiliant in recent years, showing resistance to national trends. If UKIPer go overwhelmingly Conservative, then a pick up, but nothing is for sure.
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
6% win by Labour here last time, this is a seat that would flip to the Tories due to the national polling trends and it also voted 62% for Brexit.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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