Birmingham, Selly Oak

	27/05/2017	V.F. 104.16.121.223
Likely Labour hold but will be compeitive. The lack of UKIP candidate in this seat will mean that the Tories should get considerably closer than at the last election. Both Billesley and the southern parts of Brandwood are very much the sort of territory where traditional Labour voters have gone UKIP and now, if the polls are accurate, will go Tory. Selly Oak ward is Labour but has quite a low electorate but a high turnout in middle class Bournville will balance that out to an extent. I suspect that the anti-Labour swing in this seat will be fairly limited.
	26/04/2017	Jack Cox 24.212.227.58
19% Win by Labour here last time out. They'll hold it easy.