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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

North East Derbyshire


Prediction Changed
2017-04-27 21:16:33
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Bush, James

Engel, Natascha

Kesteven, David

Lomax, David

Rowley, Lee

Incumbent:
Natascha Engel

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
37.95 % vs. 62.05 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Engel, Natascha *
1948840.6%
Rowley, Lee
1760536.7%
Bush, James
763115.9%
Batey, David
20044.2%
Kesteven, David
10592.2%
Lane, Rob
161 .3%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Engel, N. Ms.*
1794838.2%
Merriman, H.W.
1550333.0%
Bull, R.E.
1094723.3%
Bush, J.H.
26365.6%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
20497
11195
9269
Other1975


 

05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
The Conservatives have taken control of Derbyshire County Council with a massive swing from Labour. The Tories won 37 (up from 18) to claim a majority and wiped out Labour's 22-seat majority from 2013, while Labour dropped to 24 (down from 43) seats.
Per BBC, 'This was Labour's last stand - its last county council to be defended in England. And its defences have proven to be weak.'
This certainly bodes very well for the Tories, especially given the collapse of the UKIP. While 30 points is a big gap to make up, it is not out of the question.
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
The Conservatives have taken control of Derbyshire County Council with a massive swing from Labour. The Tories won 37 (up from 18) to claim a majority and wiped out Labour's 22-seat majority from 2013, while Labour dropped to 24 (down from 43) seats.
Per BBC, 'This was Labour's last stand - its last county council to be defended in England. And its defences have proven to be weak.'
This certainly bodes very well for the Tories, especially given the collapse of the UKIP. They should have no trouble swinging 4% to take this seat.
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
4% margin of victory here last time for Labour and 62% voted for Brexit. This should be an easy pickup for the Tories.



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