Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Penrith and The Border


Prediction Changed
2017-04-26 21:46:39
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Davies, Jonathan

Hughes, Neil

Lawson, Douglas

McEvoy, Lola

Stewart, Rory

Wilde, Kerryanne

Incumbent:
Rory Stewart

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
44.8 % vs. 55.2 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Stewart, Rory*
2620259.7%
Rushworth, Lee
630814.4%
Stanyer, John
535312.2%
Hughes, Neil
37458.5%
Burrow, George
23135.3%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Stewart, R.
2407153.4%
Thornton, P.C.
1283028.5%
Cannon, B.A. Ms.
583412.9%
Stanyer, J.B.
12592.8%
Davidson, C.
10932.4%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
8108
21870
10105
Other1715


 

13/05/2017 V.F.
104.16.121.223
Safe Conservative seats, Conservative won less than 50% only once in 1997. Rory Stewart will benefit from his higher profile as a minister under May, and the weaken UKIP.
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
45 point Tory win here last time. This is a snoozefest.



Navigate to UK 2017 Home | North West Index | Submission

United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster