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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Lancaster and Fleetwood


Prediction Changed
2017-06-06 19:05:43
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Long, Robin

Novell, Rebecca

Ollerenshaw, Eric

Smith, Cat

Incumbent:
Cat Smith

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
48.01 % vs. 51.99 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Smith, Catherine
1764342.3%
Ollerenshaw, Eric*
1637839.2%
Atkins, Matthew
40609.7%
Coates, Chris
20935.0%
Long, Robin
13903.3%
Elletson, Harold
174 .4%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Ollerenshaw, E.
1540436.1%
Grunshaw, C.
1507135.3%
Langhorn, S.
816719.1%
Dowding, G. Ms.
18884.4%
McGlade, F.
10202.4%
Kent, D. Ms.
9382.2%
Riley, K.
213 .5%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
17947
11157
7071
Other3639


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
Very marginal seat... but it voted 48% remain, 2k Green votes that Cat Smith can cut into, I think she holds with a majority under 1,000
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
This was a 3 percent Labour win here last time. I can not see this seat going anything but Tory with the Poll Numbers being what they are.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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