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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Orkney and Shetland


Prediction Changed
2017-04-26 22:03:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Barton, Robina

Brett, Miriam

Carmichael, Alistair

Hill, Stuart

Johnston, Jamie

Smith, Robert

Incumbent:
The Rt Hon. Alistair Carmichael

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
59.72 % vs. 40.28 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Carmichael, Alistair*
940741.4%
Skene, Danus
859037.8%
Cameron, Donald
20258.9%
McGarvey, Gerry
16247.2%
Smith, Robert
10824.8%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Carmichael, A.M.*
1198962.0%
Cooper, M.
206110.7%
Mowat, J.R.
204210.6%
Spencer Nairn, C.F.
203210.5%
Smith, R.W.
12226.3%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
2511
2357
9138
1833
Minor Parties992
Other911


 

26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
The Lib Dems will likely hold this seat, it was close last time but they are right around where they were with the disaster that befell them last time. This seat hasn't voted anything but Liberal and Lib Dem since 1935.
26/04/2017 J.F. Breton
69.70.5.122
The Lib-Dems are polling better than they did in the last election. I think he will be more than fine, especially with the pro-European position here.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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