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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

North Down


Prediction Changed
2017-06-06 18:47:01
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Agnew, Steven

Easton, Alex

Hermon, Lady Sylvia

McCartney, Therese

McNeill, Caoimhe

Muir, Andrew

Reynolds, Gavan

Shivers, Frank

Incumbent:
Lady Hermon (Sylvia Hermon)

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
52.36 % vs. 47.64 %

2015 Election Result
Hermon, Sylvia*
1768949.2%
Easton, Alex
848723.6%
Muir, Andrew
30868.6%
Agnew, Steven
19585.5%
Brotherston, Mark
15934.4%
Lavery, Jonny
14824.1%
Cudworth, William
6861.9%
Woolley, Tom
3551.0%
Donnelly, Glenn
338 .9%
McCartney, Therese
273 .8%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Hermon, S. Ms.*
2118163.3%
Parsley, I.J.
681720.4%
Farry, S.
18765.6%
Kilpatrick, K. Ms.
16344.9%
Agnew, S.
10433.1%
Logan, L.
6802.0%
Parker, V.
250 .7%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
1009
16268
11324
205
Minor Parties2451
Other1033


 

26/04/2017 Teddy Boragina
75.119.244.241
Lady Hermon will face a challenge from the DUP in this seat.
Note, however, that North Down is very much the "we don't follow the rules" seat within NI in Westminster. They've elected Independents (and effective independents; people who lead tiny parties) many times before, and the seat has a vote pattern that does not match even other unionist seats.
As such, a locally popular MP like Lady Hermon should be able to get re-elected, even if with a reduced majority.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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