Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Brampton North


Prediction Changed
2018-01-21 19:30:30
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Johal, Jass


Incumbent(s):
    Brampton-Springdale
   Harinder Malhi

   (78.39% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Bramalea-Gore-Malton
   Jagmeet Singh

   (15.71% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Brampton West
   Vic Dhillon

   (5.90% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):111951


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

13460 39.93%
8239 24.44%
10555 31.31%
1149 3.41%
OTHERS 309 0.92%
Total Transposed 33713

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Brampton-Springdale

10579
6341
8588
744
Others220
Total Transposed26473

     Bramalea-Gore-Malton

1997
1354
1607
357
Total Transposed5316

     Brampton West

884
544
359
47
Others89
Total Transposed1924


Federal Election Result (2015):

Ruby Sahota
2329748.40%
Parm Gill **
1588833.00%
Martin Singh
794616.50%
Pauline Thornham
9151.90%
Harinderpal Hundal
1200.20%


 

19/01/2018 Bill
69.158.95.220
This riding got very interesting with the promotion of Harinder Malhi to cabinet as Status of Women minister. The PC's nominated Jass Johal a local paralegal to this riding over a year ago. The NDP will also try to maintain their presence in this riding but with no viable candidate they will likely be relegated to third place again. Harinder is widely popular within the South Asian community as she is also the daughter of the first Sikh MP to ever be elected to the House of Commons in 1992.
15/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Will likely back whichever party wins although with the rapidly changing demographics as well as both parties vying for the Indo Canadian community vote heavily too early to tell. Doesn't necessarily either swing at the same rate the province does so probably the best indication will be during the campaign to see how much time the leaders spend in Brampton and how the campaign goes. Doubt this can be predicted more than two weeks out from the election unless one party has a strong surge.



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