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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Simcoe North


Prediction Changed
2017-12-06 00:02:50
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Dunlop, Jill

Marshall, Gerry

Van Houtte, Elizabeth


Incumbent(s):
    Simcoe North
   Patrick Brown

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):108672


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

14394 32.18%
19556 43.71%
7224 16.15%
3562 7.96%
Total Transposed 44735

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Simcoe North

14394
19556
7224
3562
Others0
Total Transposed44735


Federal Election Result (2015):

Bruce Stanton **
2483643.50%
Liz Riley
2271839.80%
Richard Banigan
603710.60%
Peter Stubbins
25434.50%
Jacob Kearey-Moreland
6181.10%
Scott Whittaker
3190.60%


 

13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Fully agree with Teddy Boragina on this one and I actually would not be surprised if the Liberals win most of the polls in Penetanguishene which often goes Liberal anyways, but Ramara and Severn are staunchly PC and Orillia usually heavily favours them, so the PC margins in those areas will more than cancel out any Liberal strength in Penetanguishene and perhaps Midland. Add to the fact Jill Dunlop who is the wife of the former MPP is running should be an asset for the PCs.
05/12/2017 Teddy Boragina
104.247.227.55
Gerry Marshall, the mayor of Penetanguishene and the leader of the county level government, is running as the Liberal candidate.
I live in Penetang and like the mayor (will probably vote for him) but realistically, he has little chance of taking the seat.



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