Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

	BENOIT, MARC
	KENNEDY, ELAINE
	MCDONELL, JIM
	MEGILL, HEATHER
	TRIMM, SABILE

Incumbent(s):

	Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry    Jim McDonell    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			100913
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		9250	23.20%
		20624	51.72%
		8336	20.90%
		1067	2.68%
	OTHERS	602	1.51%
	Total Transposed	39879
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
		9250
		20624
		8336
		1067
	Others	602
	Total Transposed	39879
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Guy Lauzon **
		27091	51.10%
		Bernadette Clement
		20452	38.50%
		Patrick Burger
		4332	8.20%
		Elaine Kennedy
		1191	2.20%

	5/24/2018	Dr. Bear 184.175.13.231
I could see how, over several elections, support for the PCs could erode and ultimately shift to another party (kinda the way the liberals used to dominate here for so long and gradually shifted PC/CPC). But for now this will safely stay in the PC column.
	25/04/2018	GritBusters 96.9.247.204
The Liberals have been bleeding support to the the NDP for years in Cornwall, largely to the benefit of the Tories; the rural parts of this riding are as Conservative as anything you'll find in small-town Alberta. Easy PC hold here, even if the Liberals come back or the NDP surges province-wide.
	15/04/2018	A.S. 99.225.48.35
What *is* interesting here is that the ONDP has been only slightly behind the Liberals over two consecutive elections--interesting if only because Eastern Ontario has generally become an absolute NDP desert (esp. vs the Libs on the left) over the past generation. Though Cornwall was held provincially by the NDP's George Samis in 1974-85; but that left little imprint on political posterity. And then John Cleary in that same riding had 1995's best province-wide *Liberal* result. And now it's one of the seats likeliest to stay in the Tory fold should they lose official party status. Strange, meandering political path, indeed...
	22/03/2018	MF 69.158.152.4
The PCs received over 50% under Hudak in SDG, as did the federal Tories in 2015. Nothing to see here.
	2017-12-23	R.O. 24.146.17.189
Jim Mcdonell has been MPP since 2011 and seems to be well liked here. he is the clear favorite heading into the next election .
	13/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
Not too long ago this was a fairly safe Liberal riding, but today is one of the safest PC ones. The PCs in 2014 and Tories in 2015 both got over 50% here and in fact was one of only four ridings provincially in 2014 and one of five federally in 2015 so easy PC win regardless of how they do elsewhere in the province.
	11/12/2017	Innocent bystander 67.215.130.68
Barring any unusual local circumstances, any rural riding held by the Tories now will be held by the Tories after the election.