Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Sudbury


Prediction Changed
2017-12-06 00:03:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Crowder, Troy

Thibeault, Glenn

West, Jamie


Incumbent(s):
    Sudbury
   Hon Glenn Thibeault

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):80840


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

13296 39.35%
4663 13.80%
14274 42.24%
1212 3.59%
OTHERS 348 1.03%
Total Transposed 33793

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Sudbury

13296
4663
14274
1212
Others348
Total Transposed33793


Federal Election Result (2015):

Paul Lefebvre
2353447.40%
Paul Loewenberg
1379327.80%
Fred Slade
1047321.10%
David Robinson
15093.00%
Jean-Raymond Audet
1340.30%
Elizabeth Rowley
1020.20%
J. David Popescu
840.20%
0.20%


 

10/01/2018 Cabbagetown Red Tory
142.114.117.5
The NDP will pick this back up.
G.T. will take a lot of flak for hydro, overall fatigue, and sour grapes from past betrayals.
All the NPD need is a decent candidate and a solid ground game, It will be impressive to say the least if G.T. holds on.
27/12/2017 R.O.
24.146.17.189
the Oracle poll said this riding was a 3 way race and realistically its unlikely to be decided until late in the campaign, possibly even the final days .
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Oracle did a poll here showing a three way race so any of the three parties have a chance. If I had to pick one, I would choose NDP as they have traditionally done well here and with the taint of the scandal as well as unpopularity of Hydro One privatization which Glenn Thibeault oversaw he is probably more of a liability than asset. The PCs have a former NHL player running and despite their poor showing in 2014, it was not too different than in Sault Ste. Marie which they snatched in a by-election, still the left of centre tilt in this riding probably makes a PC win here unlikely and if they do they will probably win a landslide provincially.
05/12/2017 PJ from Oxford
81.108.45.31
The province-wide picture looks good for the NDP and they should narrowly regain an area which is often close between them and the Liberals.



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