Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Toronto Centre


Prediction Changed
2017-12-16 20:21:56
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 


Incumbent(s):
    Toronto Centre
   Hon. Glen Murray

   (99.86% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Trinity-Spadina
   Han Dong

   (0.14% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):93971


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

20733 60.48%
4177 12.18%
6685 19.50%
1623 4.73%
OTHERS 1065 3.11%
Total Transposed 34282

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Toronto Centre

20733
4177
6685
1623
Others1065
Total Transposed34282


Federal Election Result (2015):

Bill Morneau
2929757.90%
Linda McQuaig
1346726.60%
Julian Di Battista
616712.20%
Colin Biggin
13152.60%
Jordan Stone
1470.30%
Mariam Ahmad
1330.30%
Philip Fernandez
760.20%
0.20%


 

21/12/2017 Gabbith
75.98.19.133
I wonder why the NDP haven't nominated anyone here yet. Liberals also look like their holding out for a star. I think this should be too close to call until the parties have nominated candidates.
20/12/2017 Max N
72.38.67.186
If previous provincial and federal elections are any indication, expect a high profile Liberal candidate to run in this riding and win handedly.
14/12/2017
99.228.128.85
With Glen Murray not running here anymore, coupled with the fact that Liberals are not polling so great, this one could go NDP. I'm sure the PCs will up their vote here but they wont win in this very urban riding. Toss up at this point.
15/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
The loss of Rosedale does help the NDP, but with Wynne moving the Liberals leftwards and having the type of policies that sell well in downtown Toronto, I suspect they will hold this. Still an NDP pick up while unlikely is possible and if that happens the Liberals will likely be reduced to single digits in seats.



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