Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Vaughan-Woodbridge


Prediction Changed
2017-12-09 23:33:21
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Tibollo, Michael


Incumbent(s):
    Vaughan
   Hon Steven Del Duca

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):105450


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

19246 57.99%
8965 27.01%
3637 10.96%
730 2.20%
OTHERS 609 1.84%
Total Transposed 33187

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Vaughan

19246
8965
3637
730
Others609
Total Transposed33187


Federal Election Result (2015):

Francesco Sorbara
2304148.70%
Julian Fantino **
2074643.90%
Adriana Marie Zichy
21984.60%
Anthony Gualtieri
7161.50%
Elise Boulanger
5971.30%


 

13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Way too early to call this. The federal Tories only finished 3 points back and I suspect the PCs should easily retain those who voted Tory federally. Steve Del Duca is popular but candidates matter less in the 905 belt than say rural ridings. This has a large Italian community who are centrist to centre-right and tend to swing massively behind whomever wins so I think if the PCs fall short of a majority this will stay Liberal, but if the PCs win a majority they will likely win this one like they did in 2011 federally and 1999 provincially.
09/12/2017 KXS
69.157.99.23
This will be an interesting riding to watch.
I believe Steven Del Duca is popular enough to hold Woodbridge on his own merits.
If the Liberals lose in June, this might be one of the few 905 ridings that they will hold.



Navigate to Ontario 2018 Home | Regional Index | Submission

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.org
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2018 - Email Webmaster