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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Whitby


Prediction Changed
2017-12-07 21:06:16
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Lundquist, Niki

Washington, Leisa


Incumbent(s):
    Whitby-Oshawa
   Lorne Coe

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):122022


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

15969 32.77%
20171 41.39%
10242 21.02%
2105 4.32%
OTHERS 246 0.50%
Total Transposed 48733

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Whitby-Oshawa

15969
20171
10242
2105
Others246
Total Transposed48733


Federal Election Result (2015):

Celina Caesar-Chavannes
2900345.00%
Pat Perkins **
2715442.10%
Ryan Kelly
667710.30%
Craig Cameron
14032.20%
Jon O'Connor
2790.40%


 

13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
As an outlying suburb, this is a lean PC, not solid one and had Christine Elliott not been the candidate, I think the Liberals would have taken this in 2014 much like they did federally and likewise had the federal Tories managed to get her as candidate it probably would have stayed Tory federally as both Elliott and the late Jim Flaherty have/had deep roots in this riding and are quite popular. Still if Lorne Coe could easily take this without the personal profile and even with Justin Trudeau (who was still very popular then) campaigning for the Liberals, I don't see why he won't in 2018 win this. Nonetheless whenever Ontario tires of the PCs and throws them out like they did federally, I think the OLP will take this, but not next time around.
06/12/2017 Kathy
99.228.107.135
Lorne Coe cruised to an easy byelection win here. PC hold.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018
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