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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

York-Simcoe


Prediction Changed
2017-12-06 00:03:43
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Loft, David

Mulroney, Caroline


Incumbent(s):
    York-Simcoe
   Julia Munro

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):94616


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

12085 35.21%
13768 40.11%
6034 17.58%
2132 6.21%
OTHERS 304 0.89%
Total Transposed 34324

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    York-Simcoe

12085
13768
6034
2132
Others304
Total Transposed34324


Federal Election Result (2015):

Peter Van Loan **
2405850.20%
Shaun Tanaka
1808337.80%
Sylvia Gerl
42558.90%
Mark Viitala
14833.10%


 

13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
One of the safest PC ridings in the province so would go PC even if Caroline Mulroney was not the candidate. With Mulroney being a star candidate for the PCs, she will almost certainly enter cabinet if the party wins and be a strong contender for the next leader if they lose.
13/12/2017 seasaw
99.225.226.230
It's true that this riding has been voting Tory since 1995. It is also true that the Tories have by far the best candidate here. However, she doesn't live in the riding and by looking at the past election results, the gap between the Tories and the Liberals has narrowed quite significantly. This is by no means a safe Tory seat. If the Tories do about as well as the last time, they'll take this one, but there's a chance that their campaign will be a Grossman type disaster, in which case this will be one of several tidings that the Liberals will take
05/12/2017
99.228.107.135
Safe riding for the Tories. As well with star candidate Caroline Mulroney



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