Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Burlington


Prediction Changed
2017-12-07 21:03:35
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

McKenna, Jane

McMahon, Eleanor


Incumbent(s):
    Burlington
   Hon Eleanor McMahon

   (99.21% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Halton
   Hon Indira Naidoo-Harris

   (0.79% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):120569


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

23690 43.37%
20181 36.94%
7880 14.43%
2265 4.15%
OTHERS 611 1.12%
Total Transposed 54628

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Burlington

23573
20086
7792
2250
Others608
Total Transposed54309

     Halton

117
95
88
15
Others3
Total Transposed319


Federal Election Result (2015):

Karina Gould
3222946.00%
Mike Wallace **
2978042.50%
David Laird
63819.10%
Vince Fiorito
17102.40%


 

10/01/2018 Cabbagetown Red Tory
142.114.117.5
Jane will take the seat back, she lost it by a narrow margin in the last election, is very personable, dynamic, and energetic.
She will fight tooth and nail to get her seat back. Hands down. I am certain she is determined and has learned many lessons in the last few years an due to her loss.
The Libs will have a herculean effort of holding a suburban, mortgage belt seat with as narrow a cushion as they have here.
08/01/2018 MF
69.159.31.101
A traditionally PC outer GTA riding lost by Hudak. If the Tories can't regain this, Patrick Brown is done as leader.
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This is a centre-right suburban riding so it only goes Liberals when the Tories mess up badly so with Wynne's unpopularity and Brown staying out of trouble so far, this should be ripe for picking up. Even if the Liberals win a minority, they would probably still lose this one.
06/12/2017 Random Voter
24.141.143.169
Burlington voted Liberal for the first time since this Riding's creation, and the voters have buyer's remorse. Tourism Minister for their MPP or not, this should be one of the first Progressive Conservative pick-ups. Premier Wynne is just too low in the polls to hold on here.



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