Algoma-Manitoulin

	FOX, CHARLES
	LEE, TOMMY
	MALLON-FERGUSON, KALENA
	MANTHA, MICHAEL
	TILSON, JUSTIN
	TURNER, JIB

Incumbent(s):

	Algoma-Manitoulin    Michael Mantha    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			68480
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		6504	24.51%
		4589	17.30%
		14171	53.41%
		828	3.12%
	OTHERS	441	1.66%
	Total Transposed	26533
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Algoma-Manitoulin
		6504
		4589
		14171
		828
	Others	441
	Total Transposed	26533
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Carol Hughes **
		16516	39.90%
		Heather Wilson
		14111	34.10%
		André Robichaud
		9820	23.70%
		Calvin John Orok
		927	2.20%

	5/27/2018	NJam101 208.96.95.84
No change from my previous comment. Mantha will win with about 60% of the votes.
	5/24/2018	Dr. Bear 184.175.13.231
This has become safe NDP territory both federally and provincially. Nothing going to change now.
	09/05/2018	Laurence Putnam 50.92.139.181
Even in the dark Hampton days, the worst result the NDP could turn in here was still around 30%. With the NDP flying much higher these days, the obvious advantage of incumbency and a steady (though not spectacular) province-wide campaign behind it, the result here shouldn't really be in doubt.
	06/05/2018	A.S. 99.225.48.35
Put it this way: if Carol Hughes can hang on federally, Mantha will absolutely hang on provincially. But it's interesting to note that prior to Mantha, the provincial entity known as 'Algoma-Manitoulin' had *never* gone NDP. (A little by default, though, given how the present seat essentially combines pre-1999 Algoma-Manitoulin and just plain Algoma, the latter having been Bud Wildman's Dipper stronghold for nearly a quarter century.)
	20/04/2018	R.O. 24.146.17.189
Michael Mantha will likely hold the riding for the ndp , no pc or liberal candidates even nominated yet .
	24/03/2018	NJam101 63.135.16.204
Michael Mantha will win. I will copy and paste my comment from the last election but take out a few sentences as it hasn't changed a lot. Michael Mantha will easily win again and this time with a larger percentage of the votes. Mantha is bilingual and is really liked as an MPP. The riding is interesting because it is very rural, population is spread out and the largest community is Elliot Lake. The riding contains Manitoulin Island, along Hwy 17, North Shore of Lake Huron towns, along much of Lake Superior (Wawa, etc.) and isolated towns such as Chapleau, Dubreuilville, Manitouwadge and Hornepayne. The Northern portion of the riding is very strongly NDP. The very southern portion has pockets that are more to the right, especially Manitoulin, but Mantha will still do quite well throughout.
	2017-12-26	A BCer 64.180.22.208
Easy re-election for incumbent NDPer Michael Mantha.
	17/12/2017	The Jacal 99.237.125.239
This is easily one of the top 5 safest ridings for the NDP in Ontario. The Liberals and PC's will be jockeying for second place.
	15/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
Considering how unpopular the OLP is in Northern Ontario, especially the rural areas and the PCs are fairly weak this far north, this should be an easy NDP hold.