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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Etobicoke Centre


Prediction Changed
2017-12-16 20:16:18
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Baker, Yvan

Surma, Kinga


Incumbent(s):
    Etobicoke Centre
   Yvan Baker

   (93.42% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Etobicoke-Lakeshore
   Hon Peter Z. Milczyn

   (6.58% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):114910


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

22694 48.70%
15104 32.41%
5368 11.52%
1223 2.62%
OTHERS 2210 4.74%
Total Transposed 46600

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Etobicoke Centre

22694
15104
5368
1223
Others2210
Total Transposed46600

     Etobicoke-Lakeshore

1355
1129
319
89
Others46
Total Transposed2937


Federal Election Result (2015):

Borys Wrzesnewskyj
3261252.80%
Ted Opitz **
2307037.30%
Tanya De Mello
48867.90%
Shawn Rizvi
8561.40%
Rob Wolvin
3780.60%


 

15/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
If the PCs pick up any Etobicoke seats, this is their best chance but at this point still too early to tell. If PCs in the final week are trailing or ahead by less than 5 points than definitely stays Liberal. PC lead 5-10 points provincially leans Liberal but possible PC pickup. PC lead 10-15 points provincially likely PC pickup and provincewide lead over 15 points definite pick up.



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