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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Hamilton East-Stoney Creek


Prediction Changed
2017-12-10 21:13:27
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Miller, Paul


Incumbent(s):
    Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
   Paul Miller

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):107786


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

11741 29.86%
7122 18.11%
18037 45.87%
1550 3.94%
OTHERS 869 2.21%
Total Transposed 39318

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Hamilton East-Stoney Creek

11741
7122
18037
1550
Others869
Total Transposed39318


Federal Election Result (2015):

Bob Bratina
1962239.00%
Wayne Marston **
1646532.70%
Diane Bubanko
1271525.30%
Erin Davis
13052.60%
Bob Mann
1700.30%
Wendell Fields
550.10%


 

08/01/2018 MF
69.159.31.101
Most of this riding *is* in Stoney Creek, so obviously the NDP doesn't have a problem there. Paul Miller should have no problem being re-elected.
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Normally not a safe NDP riding, but the Liberals have really tanked in the heavy manufacturing areas so despite winning federally here, don't see them winning provincially. The Hamilton portion will go heavily NDP while Stoney Creek being more suburban could go either Liberal or PC but neither will win it by enough to offset their weakness in the old city of Hamilton portions.
10/12/2017 Innocent bystander
67.215.130.68
The NDP won by 17 points last time around. Would require a major NDP collapse and Liberal gains to become a competitive riding.



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