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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Markham-Thornhill


Prediction Changed
2017-12-19 23:19:37
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Kanapathi, Logan


Incumbent(s):
    Markham-Unionville
   Hon Michael Chan

   (75.16% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Thornhill
   Gila Martow

   (24.84% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):102221


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

16074 51.37%
10904 34.85%
3187 10.19%
729 2.33%
OTHERS 394 1.26%
Total Transposed 31289

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Markham-Unionville

11571
6892
2359
465
Others242
Total Transposed21529

     Thornhill

4503
4012
828
264
Others152
Total Transposed9759


Federal Election Result (2015):

John McCallum **
2387855.70%
Jobson Easow
1384932.30%
Senthi Chelliah
459510.70%
Joshua Russell
5351.20%


 

21/12/2017 Gabbith
75.98.19.133
Another interesting riding. Conservatives have always tanked in the Tamil areas of the riding. Now they are running a councillor who is Tamil and represents the part of the riding where they are weakest. Chinese areas of the riding should swing PC this election.
17/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This is the most Liberal friendly of the Markham ridings and since it went Liberal in the 2011 federal disaster it would be tempting to call it for the Liberals. However in 2015 there was a much smaller swing towards the Liberals than nationwide and in the 2016 by-election the federal Tories who were leaderless then got 39% suggesting this is trending in the PC direction relative to the province, but whether it will be enough to actually win or not, too soon to tell.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018
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