Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Mississauga-Lakeshore


Prediction Changed
2017-12-14 21:34:49
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Cuzzetto, Rudy

Sousa, Charles


Incumbent(s):
    Mississauga South
   Hon Charles Sousa

   (94.69% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Mississauga-Erindale
   Harinder S. Takhar

   (5.31% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):118893


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

23269 50.49%
15420 33.45%
4921 10.68%
1471 3.19%
OTHERS 1010 2.19%
Total Transposed 46092

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Mississauga South

22192
14514
4649
1418
Others946
Total Transposed43719

     Mississauga-Erindale

1077
906
272
53
Others64
Total Transposed2373


Federal Election Result (2015):

Sven Spengemann
2827947.70%
Stella Ambler **
2443541.20%
Eric Guerbilsky
47358.00%
Ariana Burgener
13972.40%
Paul Woodworth
3160.50%
Dagmar Sullivan
1110.20%


 

18/01/2018 NL345
206.25.70.254
Sousa a local favourite, but if the Liberals time is up and see a backlash on the poor economic performance, then Sousa's tenure is over. However, many PC voters may choose to sit this one out if they were involved in the farcical nomination process.
2017-12-26 seasaw
99.225.226.230
If the PC's win a majority or even a strong minority, they'll take this riding, this is actually the most Tory friendly of all Peel ridings, having said that, they still have to be in a strong winning position, otherwise it'll be a Liberal hold
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This is Charles Sousa's constituency and his role as finance minister should probably give him a slight boost, but local candidates tend to play a fairly minor role in 905 ridings. This is a fairly affluent but educated riding so rype for picking up if the PCs run on a fairly centrist platform, but if they veer too far right or the Liberals can scare people they have a hidden agenda, then could stay Liberal.



Navigate to Ontario 2018 Home | Regional Index | Submission

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.org
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2018 - Email Webmaster