Election Prediction Project

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Brampton East

Prediction Changed
2017-12-09 23:32:24

Constituency Profile



   Jagmeet Singh

   (89.20% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
   Harinder Malhi

   (10.80% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions

Population (2011):99712

2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

8941 30.91%
4029 13.93%
15358 53.10%
583 2.02%
OTHERS 10 0.03%
Total Transposed 28921

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed


Total Transposed26017


Total Transposed2904

Federal Election Result (2015):

Raj Grewal
Naval Bajaj
Harbaljit Singh Kahlon
Kyle Lacroix


19/01/2018 Bill
With Jagmeet leaving, it will be interesting to see who takes this seat, but we can be assured that they will try their best to maintain this seat. The PC's had one of the largest nominations in Canadian history and elected a Real Estate agent to represent them. If the Liberals can increase their numbers in the Polls, they might be able to recruit a star candidate to run in a riding they must win. The NDP will also target this seat to maintain their presence in the 905. Ultimately the vote split will allow the PC candidate to win here.
21/12/2017 Gabbith
PC party reported 20,000 people voted in their nomination meeting in this riding. Will make it interesting between all three parties. But I think this could even end up being a Liberal-Pc race with Jagmeet Singh gone.
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
With Singh no longer running here, the question becomes is his coattails large enough to keep this for the NDP. The Liberals have generally been strong in Brampton so might be one of the few cases they gain seats even if they lose provincewide. Also the PCs could come up the middle with strong splits never mind Patrick Brown does have much stronger connections with the Indo-Canadian community than past PC leaders have although historically the PCs have not been done particularly well amongst Indo-Canadians. At this point we will have to wait until we get closer to the election to see whom has the edge here.
09/12/2017 KXS
This will be interesting to watch.
Jagmeet Singh is now the federal NDP leader. Can a New Democrat hold this riding on his coattails?
This is one of the weakests riding for the PCs in the 905. However, the PCs are talking about auto insurance reform and health care spending - that could play well in this area.
The Liberals have a strong base in this riding and are usually the 'default' choice in Peel Region. Could this be a rare instance where they pick up a seat while losing the election?

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