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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Sault Ste. Marie


Prediction Changed
2017-12-14 21:36:39
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 


Incumbent(s):
    Sault Ste. Marie
   Ross Romano

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):73370


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

17490 58.53%
3704 12.39%
7610 25.47%
965 3.23%
OTHERS 115 0.38%
Total Transposed 29884

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Sault Ste. Marie

17490
3704
7610
965
Others115
Total Transposed29884


Federal Election Result (2015):

Terry Sheehan
1958244.80%
Bryan Hayes **
1361531.10%
Skip Morrison
954321.80%
Kara Flannigan
9342.10%
Mike Taffarel
830.20%


 

27/12/2017 R.O.
24.146.17.189
Ross Romano surprised a lot of observers by winning the by election rather easily against a fairly good ndp candidate and former mayor running for the liberals. its not clear who the ndp or liberals plan to run in 2018 and so a pc hold seems possible at this point.
15/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
I wouldn't call this quite yet for the PCs although they are favoured. This is a riding that both federally and provincially has gone for all parties and tends to be known for wild swings. If the NDP can gain some momentum they could capture this although the Liberals are probably out of it despite their historical strength. Nonetheless it does seem a decline in Liberal vote tends to favour the PCs more than NDP so the better the Liberals do the better the NDP chances are and the worse the Liberals do the better the PCs chances are.
12/12/2017 Innocent bystander
67.215.130.68
The Tories took this seat for the first time in 32 years, in a by-election that was reportedly delayed because the Liberals couldn't find a candidate, when two thirds of Liberal voters from the previous election either stayed home or changed their minds.
I doubt the anti-Wynne feelings have all been exorcised.



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