Simcoe-Grey

	HAMBLY, DAN
	MATTHEWS, DAVID
	PERRY, JESSECA
	WILSON, JIM
	WRIGHT, JOHN

Incumbent(s):

	Simcoe-Grey    Jim Wilson    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			116307
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		14296	30.40%
		22288	47.39%
		6739	14.33%
		3707	7.88%
	Total Transposed	47030
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Simcoe-Grey
		14296
		22288
		6739
		3707
	Others	0
	Total Transposed	47030
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Kellie Leitch **
		30612	46.60%
		Mike MacEachern
		25352	38.60%
		David Matthews
		6332	9.60%
		JoAnne Fleming
		2923	4.40%
		Len Noordegraaf
		528	0.80%

	02/06/2018	Dave West 99.255.144.93
No surprises expected in Simcoe-Grey as incumbent Jim Wilson has served the riding well for over 25 years. Understandably, the other parties always seem to have a difficult time fielding credible candidates as in this traditionally Blue Region they have the odds stacked against them from the get-go.
	2018-04-1	A.S. 99.225.48.35
2014-style 'humiliation' for Jim Wilson consisted of his getting less than half of the vote and the Libs nearly getting 2/3 of his vote. In this seat, he represents sober gravitas and stability--no wonder he served as interim leader betwixt Hudak and Brown--though one wishes the same could be said about his successive federal counterparts Guergis and Leitch; and as for the Doug Ford era, I suppose it doesn't hurt that as he grows older, Jim Wilson's looking more and more like wouldbe Rob Ford doppelganger 'Slurpy';-)
	12/03/2018	MF 69.158.152.4
Simcoe-Grey is a pretty traditional Tory riding, even though it's likely moderated by GTA residents moving to the Collingwood area. Doug Ford is probably less appealing than a more generic PC leader in these parts, but Jim Wilson is very well-established and there's probably enough 'but Kathleen Wynne' sentiment to keep this in the PC column.
	13/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
This is a fairly safe PC riding and Jim Wilson is fairly popular. While the growth of ex GTA residents in Collingwood, Blue Mountains, and Wasaga Beach makes the Liberals more competitive there, the PCs will dominate the southern portions. Now federally this might be vulnerable if Kellie Leitch is the candidate in 2019, but Wilson unlike Leitch has stayed away from dog whistle Trumpian politics which even in this deep blue riding don't go over well so he is safe.
	03/12/2017	Insight 99.229.207.55
Wilson is the most senior PC caucus member. This riding has reliable voted conservative both federally and provincially in the last 20 years. Not going to change now, not this election for sure.