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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Simcoe-Grey


Prediction Changed
2017-12-03 21:51:14
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Gordon, William

Hambly, Dan


Incumbent(s):
    Simcoe-Grey
   Jim Wilson

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):116307


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

14296 30.40%
22288 47.39%
6739 14.33%
3707 7.88%
Total Transposed 47030

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Simcoe-Grey

14296
22288
6739
3707
Others0
Total Transposed47030


Federal Election Result (2015):

Kellie Leitch **
3061246.60%
Mike MacEachern
2535238.60%
David Matthews
63329.60%
JoAnne Fleming
29234.40%
Len Noordegraaf
5280.80%


 

13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This is a fairly safe PC riding and Jim Wilson is fairly popular. While the growth of ex GTA residents in Collingwood, Blue Mountains, and Wasaga Beach makes the Liberals more competitive there, the PCs will dominate the southern portions. Now federally this might be vulnerable if Kellie Leitch is the candidate in 2019, but Wilson unlike Leitch has stayed away from dog whistle Trumpian politics which even in this deep blue riding don't go over well so he is safe.
03/12/2017 Insight
99.229.207.55
Wilson is the most senior PC caucus member. This riding has reliable voted conservative both federally and provincially in the last 20 years. Not going to change now, not this election for sure.



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