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Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:32:32
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Incumbent:

Scott Simms

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

77680
78073

42939
33459

39395.65 km²
2.0/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Scott Simms ** 2652374.80%
Kevin George O'Brien 647918.30%
Claudette Menchenton 21756.10%
Elizabeth Perry 2710.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

872630.32%
392013.62%
1580554.92%
2530.88%
Other 740.26%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
   (72.93% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
   (17.77% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Random-Burin-St. George's
   (9.3% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


30/05/19 Laurence Putnam
96.53.49.70
I am gobsmacked that 338 Canada is calling this for the Conservatives. Unless they know something I don't (very possible) I just can't imagine it. The Liberals won by almost a 2-1 margin - even in 2011. Until a major change in attitude takes place towards the Conservatives in NF&L, and even then, barring a very compelling local candidate, I just cannot foresee any chance the Conservatives might have here for some years to come; certainly not this October.
25/05/19 The Jackal
99.236.220.4
Interesting the website 338canada has this pegged as a possible CPC pick up. However with the Rock being scorched earth for the federal Tories I would say Mr.Simms will coast to another election victory.
31/03/19 Sam
86.139.27.23
Scott Simms or not, it would be stunning for this to go anything other than Liberal.
24/02/19 Teddy Boragina
45.72.192.93
Simms is a bit of a maverick and Newfoundlanders like their mavericks. Additionally, this area of the province is much more Liberal friendly than otherwise; this adds up to a re-election fairly easily here.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Solid Liberal riding as well as Scott Simms has shown himself to be a fairly independent minded MP which the party may not care for, but is well appreciated by constituents.



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