Election Prediction Project

Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:32:32

Constituency Profile



Scott Simms

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



39395.65 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Scott Simms ** 2652374.80%
Kevin George O'Brien 647918.30%
Claudette Menchenton 21756.10%
Elizabeth Perry 2710.80%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 740.26%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
   (72.93% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
   (17.77% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Random-Burin-St. George's
   (9.3% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

30/05/19 Laurence Putnam
I am gobsmacked that 338 Canada is calling this for the Conservatives. Unless they know something I don't (very possible) I just can't imagine it. The Liberals won by almost a 2-1 margin - even in 2011. Until a major change in attitude takes place towards the Conservatives in NF&L, and even then, barring a very compelling local candidate, I just cannot foresee any chance the Conservatives might have here for some years to come; certainly not this October.
25/05/19 The Jackal
Interesting the website 338canada has this pegged as a possible CPC pick up. However with the Rock being scorched earth for the federal Tories I would say Mr.Simms will coast to another election victory.
31/03/19 Sam
Scott Simms or not, it would be stunning for this to go anything other than Liberal.
24/02/19 Teddy Boragina
Simms is a bit of a maverick and Newfoundlanders like their mavericks. Additionally, this area of the province is much more Liberal friendly than otherwise; this adds up to a re-election fairly easily here.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
Solid Liberal riding as well as Scott Simms has shown himself to be a fairly independent minded MP which the party may not care for, but is well appreciated by constituents.

Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster