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Labrador
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:32:45
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Jones, Yvonne


Incumbent:

Yvonne Jones

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

27197
26728

11703
10027

269135.61 km²
0.1/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Yvonne Jones ** 887871.80%
Edward Rudkowski 177914.40%
Peter Penashue 171613.90%


2011 Results (redistributed)

425639.81%
212019.83%
417739.07%
1391.30%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Labrador
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


03/04/19 Stevo
165.225.77.147
The Conservative squeaker win in 2011 must surely rank as one of the biggest and weirdest flukes in Canadian electoral history. It's still scarcely believable that they managed to win here, and of course it was quickly ‘back to normal’ by a super-landslide in the subsequent byelection and the general election that followed. No chance that lightening can strike twice here.
26/03/19 Sam
86.28.79.130
This is a definite Liberal hold, it's one of those once-Tory seats that won't return to them.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
The Tory win in 2011 was a bit of a fluke and while I doubt they will do quite as badly as in 2015, I don't expect them to win this anytime soon.
23/02/19 (Vancouver) Islander
24.108.22.75
The Liberals aren't in a fallout like in 2011, so I'd expect the usual landslide here again.



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