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Cardigan
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:33:04
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



MacAulay, Lawrence


Incumbent:

Lawrence MacAulay

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

36615
36005

18829
14748

2551.09 km²
14.4/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Lawrence MacAulay ** 1462165.00%
Julius Patkai 363216.20%
Billy Cann 250311.10%
Teresa Doyle 14346.40%
Christene Squires 2951.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

810738.37%
216410.24%
1048649.63%
3731.77%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Cardigan
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Lawrence MacAulay has held this since 1988 and despite a few close calls should hold this again if he runs again and even if not, the memories of the Harper government are still strong enough that while the Tories should do better than they did in 2015, it will be a few election cycles before they are competitive again here.



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