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Malpeque
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:33:25
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Easter, Wayne


Incumbent:

Wayne Easter

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

36030
35039

18638
14323

1607.46 km²
22.4/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Wayne Easter ** 1395062.10%
Stephen Stewart 394717.60%
Leah-Jane Hayward 250911.20%
Lynne Lund 20669.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

793439.10%
297014.63%
860542.40%
7853.87%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Malpeque
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


05/04/19 Sam
86.28.79.130
Although the PCs and Greens do best here provincially, Wayne Easter has consistently run up decent margins and should win again. The Liberals aren't doing well in Atlantic Canada but that shift is more apparent in New Brunswick and Nova Scotia where the Conservatives have some standing.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
If either the Greens or Tories were to win a riding in PEI, it would be this one as PEI Green leader who is very popular comes from this area and Tories do somewhat better here plus vote splits from Greens. Nonetheless Wayne Easter has been here since 1993 and survived even the 2011 disaster so I suspect he will have no difficulty holding this. Once he retires this might be more competitive.



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