Election Prediction Project

Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:28:52

Constituency Profile


Cole, Jason

Fisher, Darren

Lindsay, Michelle

MacPherson, Lil

Norton, Emma


Darren Fisher

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



90.00 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Darren Fisher 3040758.20%
Robert Chisholm ** 1275724.40%
Jason Cole 733114.00%
Brynn Nheiley 17753.40%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
   (97.75% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Sackville-Eastern Shore
   (2.25% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

17/10/19 Tony Ducey
Darren Fisher holds on here again for the Liberals.
25/09/19 R.O.
Unless the ndp campaign starts showing some life on the east coast, the liberals almost win these sort of seats by default , ones that are typically liberal/ndp races. But still a lot of campaign left so have to see how things play out.
01/09/19 A.S.
Considering how the NDP's generally polling in the Maritimes, the ‘only real competition’ might be lucky to still finish ahead of CPC (who'll probably have their own bump via the provincial PCs' opposition honeymoon vs McNeil)
20/06/19 Marco Ricci
The NDP has removed their candidate, Rana Zaman, after discovering controversial tweets about Palestine/Israel:
17/04/19 Craig
Safe Liberal. Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, with its industrial facilities, is probably the most working class of the four Halifax ridings, but it won't matter. Even in 2011 the Liberals only lost to the NDP (with a star candidate in Robert Chisholm) by a hair. The NDP are weaker now than in 2015 and the Conservatives are irrelevant here.
All things considered, this should be another easy win for Darren Fisher and he should cruise to a second term in Parliament. The only real competition would be the NDP and it would take a LPC meltdown to have a chance.
16/03/19 Sam
This is becoming one of the safer Atlantic ridings for the Liberals. Robert Chisholm was the only NDP candidate who could win this and he got fewer than half the votes Darren Fisher won last time. This will be an easy win.
13/03/19 Murphy
Calling this as Liberal for now, given the NDP's weak performance in the polls. This is likely a two-way race with the Conservatives finishing third in every election since 1993.
Dartmouth-Cole Harbour is one of the safer NS seats for the Liberals. Even in the 2011 blowout the Liberals only lost this seat by 1%
24/02/19 M. Lunn
Liberal-NDP swing riding and with how weak the NDP is, this should say Liberal.

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