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Kings-Hants
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-03-15 21:27:26
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



MacQuarrie, Martha


Incumbent:

Scott Brison

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

83465
83306

38917
35202

4124.46 km²
20.2/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Scott Brison ** 3302670.70%
David Morse 867718.60%
Hugh Curry 29986.40%
Will Cooper 15693.40%
Megan Brown-Hodges 1840.40%
Edd Twohig 1320.30%
Clifford James Williams 1000.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1471436.63%
804320.03%
1588739.56%
15203.78%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Kings-Hants
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


14/03/19 Dr.Bear
204.187.20.70
Time to see if this has truly become a Liberal riding or a Scott Brison riding. My instincts tell me both, as folks probably got accustomed to voting red over the last couple of decades. So likely a Liberal hold but I'm being cautious and listing it TCTC for now.
13/03/19 Sam
86.28.79.130
Thanks to Scott Brison's retirement and the increasingly apparent Liberal decline, the Conservatives have an opening here, and this could well be their only chance to take it. A Liberal hold is still likely but neither party can be ruled out.
11/03/19 COAST TO COAST TO COAST
99.226.134.34
Now that Scott Brison has retired from politics, the Liberals will definitely not be getting over 70% here in 2019. This was definitely a Scott Brison seat. However in recent years NS is trending further towards the Liberals than any other province. I think the 52% vote spread in 2015 will be too much for the Conservatives to overcome.
11/03/19 Mubs
151.124.225.52
The legacy of Brison should ensure that this riding remains Liberal albeit with a reduced margin.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Scott Brison not running does give the Tories an opening, but considering in recent provincial elections they haven't done well here and considering how badly they lost this in 2015, probably a bridge too far. Nonetheless I expect things to tighten up and if the Tories start to get competitive in Atlantic Canada I may change my prediction, but for now Liberal hold by a narrower margin.



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