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Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:34:22
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Edmonds, Anthony

Samson, Darrell


Incumbent:

Darrell Samson

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

86498
85583

34355
33205

644.93 km²
134.1/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Darrell Samson 2316148.00%
Peter Stoffer ** 1661334.40%
Robert Thomas Strickland 718614.90%
Mike Montgomery 13412.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1177130.19%
2117454.30%
440911.31%
16364.20%
Other 30.01%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Sackville-Eastern Shore
   (99.65% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
   (0.35% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


11/03/19 COAST TO COAST TO COAST
99.226.134.34
The Liberals won handily over the NDP in 2015. This was against popular MP Peter Stoffer. Now that the Liberals have the incumbent and Stoffer is apparently not running, this should stay with the Liberals this year.
25/02/19 Sam
86.168.58.172
Given the traditional strength of the NDP in the Halifax area, it might be assumed that they have a good shot here, but with the NDP losing its Atlantic Canada base, and the retirement of Peter Stoffer, the 48% Darrell Samson received last time is likely to hold up better than other ridings in the region and translate into a Liberal win, but this is far from certain at this stage. I would still however call it as a Liberal riding this October.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
This was more a Peter Stoffer riding than NDP one, so with him not running again, should stay Liberal. Tories are very weak even in the rural parts of the HRM, Cumberland-Colchester is the only Nova Scotia riding I could realistically see them gaining.



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