Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Sydney-Victoria
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:34:49
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Incumbent:

Mark Eyking

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

72148
73328

35210
31485

4312.87 km²
16.7/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Mark Eyking ** 2999573.20%
Monika Dutt 535113.10%
John Douglas Chiasson 436010.60%
Adrianna MacKinnon 10262.50%
Wayne James Hiscock 2420.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1402337.85%
704919.03%
1478839.91%
11913.21%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Sydney-Victoria
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


17/04/19 Craig
24.213.108.184
If Sydney-Victoria was almost anywhere else in Canada, it would be a Conservative-NDP battleground being highly industrialized and working class. However, Nova Scotia is not like most provinces - populism does not fly at all. Yes, the Nova Scotia PC's did well here in 2017, but they tend to be very much Red Tories, unlike in most other provinces - hence it's not a good indicator.
The 60 point margin is virtually impossible to overcome. Sure it was close in 2015, but that was during a Liberal meltdown and there is no indication that Scheer is making any inroads in Nova Scotia. Mark Eyking may not be back, but the color of the seat will remain red. The real election will be in the LPC nomination meeting...
14/04/19 Sam
86.153.36.203
Safe Liberal. It will be interesting to see who their candidate is here, indeed, the nomination race is the real contest.
11/03/19 COAST TO COAST TO COAST
99.226.134.34
This was the Liberals 5th best seat nationwide in 2015. Definitely a Liberal hold.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Mark Eyking maybe retiring and this area may have gone solidly PC provincially, but federally this is a very safe Liberal riding and the fact they couldn't win this even in the best of conditions in 2011, suggests Liberals should hold this.



Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster