Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:29:36

Constituency Profile


LeBlanc, Dominic


Dominic LeBlanc

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



3995.89 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Dominic LeBlanc ** 3653469.00%
Hélène Boudreau 800915.10%
Ann Bastarache 601711.40%
Kevin King 23764.50%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (88.74% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (11.26% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

12/04/19 Sam
I know that even in the Anglophone part of the riding, Dominic Leblanc should win big. He is very popular in the community here and around Moncton. Although I am however not in New Brunswick this year, when I head back there Leblanc is the MP I would expect to be here next time.
05/04/19 Craig
Safest Liberal seat in New Brunswick. Dominic LeBlanc is bulletproof and even if the LPC totally collapses Kim Campbell-style, he could be one of the survivors. Even SNC-Lavalin won't take him down, although I doubt he'll get 70% of the vote this time.
Could the Greens finish 2nd though? They did win two of the provincial seats enclosed in this largely Acadian riding and they may be about to form government across the Strait in PEI. There does seem to be an environmentalist tinge here and they may take some Liberal votes. Neither the Conservatives nor the NDP will likely be a factor, since Blaine Higgs is not exactly popular here and
24/02/19 M. Lunn
Liberals survived the 1984 and 2011 disaster here so no reason Dominic LeBlanc will lose this, safest Liberal riding in New Brunswick.

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