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Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-24 17:35:24
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Petitpas Taylor, Ginette


Incumbent:

Ginette Petitpas Taylor

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

92666
89484

45200
41366

157.02 km²
590.2/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Ginette Petitpas Taylor 3005457.80%
Robert Goguen ** 1116821.50%
Luc LeBlanc 842016.20%
Luc Melanson 23994.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1632736.77%
1263828.46%
1354630.50%
18994.28%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


13/03/19 Sam
86.28.79.130
The Conservatives had no real chance of winning this last time and the margin they won is still insurmountable. The scenarios which @M. Lunn described are necessary yet highly unlikely.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Tories only won this in 2011 due to strong splits so while I wouldn't be surprised if the Tories get over 30%, I still suspect this will stay Liberal. Tories need to get over 40% or have the NDP get in the 20s for Liberals to be in trouble here and neither seems likely at this point.



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