Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:45:01

Constituency Profile


Buté, Julius

Cappelletti, Dwayne

Couture, Matthieu

Esposito, Angelo

Howells, Marguerite

Iacono, Angelo

Kocini, Andriana

Lachance, Michel


Angelo Iacono

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



113.98 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Angelo Iacono 2455744.50%
Rosane Doré Lefebvre ** 1322524.00%
Daniel St-Hilaire 983617.80%
Gabriel Purcarus 625911.30%
Lynda Briguene 10892.00%
Renata Isopo 2030.40%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 2190.45%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

17/10/19 Tony Ducey
Former hockey player, Angelo Esposito, is the CPC candidate here. I think much like his pro hockey career his political career will disappoint as well. Liberal hold.
02/09/19 A.S.
The Italian community in Alfred-Perran is actually quite ‘nucleated’, akin to the Jewish CPC polls in Saint-Laurent and Pierrefonds-Dollard--and besides, their ethnicity's already reflected in the present office-holder, and Saint-Leonard hasn't been going in a Conservative direction (though it must be a ‘Chicoutimi effect’ that the Cons in Quebec are hitching so many of their hopes on sporting figures). And remember: this is Laval, the epitome of suburban moderation in Quebec--it'll only go Con in a Mulroney-type wave, much as it went NDP in the Jack wave, and Bloc when that was matter-of-the-fact default mode outside the Ile de Montreal and the Outaouais. (And all this territory even stayed Liberal provincially last year.)
24/05/19 Laurence Putnam
So, hockey fans, looks like one time World Juniors hero Angelo Esposito will be running for the Tories here. He'll probably do well, a local boy done good type thing that will resonate with the Italian community. That being said, doing well would be like 20% in this riding. Strong Liberal hold.
08/03/19 Sam
Like neighbouring Vimy, I expect this to stay Liberal. They did well provincially in most of Laval, and won big here last time due to split opposition. This isn't a Bloc area so although they will probably place second, they don't have the votes to take this.

Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster