Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:37:38

Constituency Profile


Émond, Pierre-André

Lennard, Carole

Plamondon, Louis

Rochefort, Nathalie

Synnott, Richard

Turcotte, David


Louis Plamondon

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



2749.31 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Louis Plamondon ** 2087140.00%
Claude Carpentier 1266624.30%
Nicolas Tabah 1153122.10%
Yves Laberge 595511.40%
Corina Bastiani 11822.30%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

18/10/19 Tony Ducey
Was surprised to see Plamondon to run here again this time. He is 76 yrs. old and has been MP since 1984. That said he'll get in again prety easily Bloc surge or not.
06/10/19 R.O.
Louis Plamondon has been an mp forever , if the riding hasn’t got tired of him by now , surely won’t lose during a year when the bloc doing better in Quebec . but likely his last election before he retires.
16/09/19 J.F. Breton
Mainstreet Poll: Bloc in good position.
- Bloc (37,6%)
- Liberals (31,1%)
- Conservatives (20,4%)
- NDP (4%)
- Greens (3,1%)
- PPC (0,9%)
Source: https://www.lenouvelliste.ca/elections-2019/le-bloc-en-avance-dans-becancour-nicolet-saurel-a8775781228151fc125fce9318afb521
29/08/19 A.S.
Beyond Plamondon being Dean of the House, this is the only remaining seat in Quebec to be electing the Bloc continuously since 1993. (Of the other three survivors of 2011, two jumped parties and were replaced by Liberals; one retired and was replaced by a Conservative.)
06/04/19 Sam
I said Manicouagan was the seat I was most confident would go Bloc, but Plamondon's seat of Becancour and Montcalm, I am also confident about. Here, Plamondon has been a strong MP here for years, and this area seems to favour the Bloc anyway.
25/03/19 Laurence Putnam
Louis Plamondon has 35 years of incumbency behind him. Just nine years to go to match and surpass the all time record of 44 years. Will he make it? Maybe, maybe not...he'll have to continue to serve into his mid-80's if he's to try...
One thing's for sure: he will get four years closer to that goal.
06/03/19 Dr. Bear
One of a few seats that I will say for certain is going BQ. Louis Plamondon is the Dean of the House of Commons. He has been re-elected through thick and thin since the early 80's. I'm sure he'll be re-elected again.
26/02/19 J.F. Breton
Louis Plamondon resists since 1984. It will be his 11th election. With the collapse of the NDP in Québec, it will b an easy win for Plamondon.

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