Benoit, Jeff
	Chénier, Pierre
	Gagnon, Marc
	Haddad, Meryam
	Lalime, Marika
	Laplante, Hugues
	Shanahan, Brenda
	Valdivia, Claudia
Incumbent:
	Brenda Shanahan

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			97887 92169 39798 38514 905.92 km² 108.1/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Brenda Shanahan	20245	39.10%
	Sophie Stanké	12615	24.40%
	Sylvain Chicoine **	11986	23.10%
	Philippe St-Pierre	5805	11.20%
	Jency Mercier	982	1.90%
	Linda Sullivan	149	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		5460	12.03%
		22116	48.72%
		4630	10.20%
		12216	26.91%
		866	1.91%
Other		105	0.23%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Châteauguay-Saint-Constant    (67.68% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Beauharnois-Salaberry    (32.32% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	18/10/19	Tony Ducey 71.7.242.216
I expect a 2 way race between the Liberals and the BQ here but the BQ will win a close race here.
	18/10/19	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Si Too Close to Call donne effectivement le Bloc gagnant, Qc125.com place les Libéraux légèrement en avance. J'aurais tendance à croire à ce second scénario. Le tissu social est plus près du tissu de Vaudreuil-Soulanges que du reste de la Montérégie. Victoire à l'arrachée de la députée sortante du PLC.
	12/10/19	Daniel Beaudin 70.24.240.248
Today's Too Close to call gives the Bloc 32 seats same as liberals. This could seem unreal for a liberal fans but, really, we're looking at a 2011 repeat here and it could easely get worst or better depending on which side your on. When the campain started, liberals we're comfortably floating with 43% support in Quebec but today they have 30%, same as Bloc. Trudeau just failed to give francophones a reason to vote for him while Blanchet reignited the nationalist flame, just like Layton did. Threatening to sue Quebec with bill 21 (who already has 75% of the support in Quebec) was not Trudeau's best stunt. Althought this is not a safe lead yet, I will tag this one Bloc because of the reversed trend that should increase with the hipe elwhere in the province. TCTC October 11th,Chateauguay: Bloc 38% Lib 33% CP 14% NDP 7% Green 7%
	04/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Shanahan's share wasn't *that* by-Quebec-standards low; remember that 2015's plethora of 3-way races and the deflated ghost of the Orange Crush made sub-40% winning shares actually quite commonplace, to the point where 39% is in fact fairly impressive, especially given how much of this was previously (pre-2011) solid Bloc turf. But chalk it up to Chateauguay--finally, its rump of Anglo-federalist polls could leverage matters riding-wide (though a lot of the riding's interior still went Bloc). Also, PET's buried in this riding.
	03/03/19	Sam 109.150.190.5
At first glance Brenda Shanahan's vote share looks low, but she is assured to win due to split opposition. Although the NDP vote share may crash, there simply aren't enough votes for the second placed Bloc to win here in a good year for the Liberals.