Bergeron, Stéphane
	Lavallée, Julie
	Pelland, Jean-Charles
	Picard, Michel
	Sauvageau, Julie
	Sellah, Djaouida
	Thibault-Vincent, Thomas
Incumbent:
	Michel Picard

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			97811 95095 38152 37652 150.68 km² 649.1/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Michel Picard	18848	32.50%
	Catherine Fournier	16460	28.40%
	Djaouida Sellah **	14296	24.70%
	Stéphane Duranleau	6284	10.90%
	Olivier Adam	1388	2.40%
	Claude Leclair	641	1.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		5010	9.60%
		23227	44.53%
		6524	12.51%
		15167	29.08%
		1278	2.45%
Other		959	1.84%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert    (50.74% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Verchères-Les Patriotes    (31.66% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Chambly-Borduas    (17.6% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	18/10/19	Tony Ducey 71.7.242.216
The Bloc are running a former MP and MNA here. That as well as the surge should equal a BQ win here on Monday.
	17/10/19	Sam 152.78.0.145
This was always a decent area for the Bloc. Having found a candidate, Stephane Bergeron, who can build on what worked last time, where Catherine Fournier was the candidate, this was always in play, well before the surge; they were evidently heavily targeting this. Now, with that surge, this is looking to be one of the easier pickups for the Bloc, with a four point margin looking very shaky in the surge.
	09/10/19	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Circonscription voisine de celle du chef du Bloc. Stéphane Bergeron, ancien député bloquiste du coin, et ancien député et ministre du Parti Québécois est bien connu. Avec la progression du vote bloquiste chez les francophones, gain dans cette région nationaliste du 450.
	05/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
With Bergeron running here and the leader next door, it seems like this is the patch which the Bloc's most dedicated to reclaiming--and unlike Beloeil-Chambly, Montarville's got the tougher nut of Liberal incumbency to overthrow. Perhaps bolstering their hopes is that 2015 Lib support was quite concentrated within Saint-Bruno, while Saints Basile and Julie favoured the Bloc--and it's the latter which Bergeron represented provincially, so he's not *quite* a parachute here, even if it was actually the more ADQ-leaning end of his former riding...
	10/06/19	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Stéphane Bergeron, former Bloc Québécois MP, from 1993 to 2005 in Verchères-Les Patriotes, will be candidate in Montarville. It will be an interesting race. BQ possible win. Source: https://www.journaldequebec.com/2019/06/05/stephane-bergeron-se-presentera-pour-le-bloc-quebecois-aux-prochaines-elections-federales
	08/03/19	Sam 86.28.79.130
One of the few vulnerable Liberal ridings in Quebec, with the Bloc close behind. They may not have as good a candidate as Catherine Fournier this time but there is a lot of NDP vote which will decide this. The Liberals could definitely win again but this is not yet certain.