Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:47:13

Constituency Profile


Barnes, Jeffrey

Beauchemin, Frédéric

Beaudoin, Maxime

Boudrias, Michel

Gagnon, France

Hébert, Jade

Monette, Réjean

Vézina, Paul


Michel Boudrias

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



154.12 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michel Boudrias 1923833.00%
Michèle Audette 1631628.00%
Charmaine Borg ** 1492825.60%
Michel Surprenant 661511.30%
Susan Moen 10161.70%
Louis Clément Sénat 1710.30%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (50.1% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (49.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

17/10/19 Tony Ducey
Given the Bloc's upswing the past week or 2 they're going to gain seats and keep seats like ones they won in 2015 like Terrebonne.
14/10/19 R.O.
This had been a long time Bloc Quebecois riding except 2011 when it went ndp, bloc are polling well enough in Quebec that they should hold the seats they already have such as an incumbent like Michel Boudrias .
04/09/19 A.S.
Were the Bloc to have returned to double-digit seat totals, this is the kind of seat you would have expected them to reclaim. And surely enough, they returned to said totals, and this was one of them. (Liberal strength's mostly concentrated in the extremities--Charlemagne to the E, a certain degree of "Lorraine spillover" to the W.)
14/04/19 Sam
This has been a good area for the Bloc and PQ, both parties only lost during their bad elections (2011, 2018 respectively), and so that trend sets Michel Boudrias up for re-election. The Liberals could invest resources into winning this, but other ridings will be higher up the list for them, and for those reasons I expect Boudrias will have an easier time than some of his colleagues, although most of them are in a good position.
26/02/19 J.F. Breton
NDP collapse in Quebec. New leader at the Bloc and rising in the polls. Laurentides / Lanaudière is a fertile ground for the Bloc. Victory of Michel Boudrias without hesitation.

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