Election Prediction Project

Brampton South
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:49:48

Constituency Profile


Brar, Ramandeep

Fraser, Karen

Ghuman, Rajwinder

Joshi, Mitesh

Kaur, Mandeep

Mercer, Wavey

Sidhu, Sonia

Sullivan, Dagmar


Sonia Sidhu

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



46.73 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Sonia Sidhu 2368152.10%
Kyle Seeback ** 1592935.00%
Amarjit Sangha 484310.70%
Shaun Hatton 10112.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1860.52%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Brampton West
   (89.21% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Mississauga-Brampton South
   (10.79% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria 1565241.01%
Paramjit Gill 1291933.85%
Sukhwant Thethi 721218.89%
Lindsay Falt 14723.86%

2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

Other 12844.29%

20/10/19 Tony Ducey
Liberal hold here. I believe the former CPC MP, Kyle Seeback, for this area is running in another riding this election so that says a lot IMO.
11/08/20 A.S.
(Correction to my earlier Brampton South post: it was the only Brampton riding where *second place* would have notionally gone to the provincial Tories in 2014--all the others had the NDP ahead of the PCs.)
06/08/20 A.S.
*This*, rather than Brampton North, is the strongest Brampton riding for the Conservatives--it's the only one to go notionally provincial Tory in 2014, and the only one to give them a more-than-supermarginal advantage in 2018. (Even Kyle Seeback in defeat enjoyed CPC's best Brampton share in 2015.) And all of that's a byproduct of its containing the heart of old-stock Old Brampton, Bill Davis and all. But BS has also been rapidly growing in the westward direction, and even Old Brampton's gentrifying/intensifying in away that's diluting old Davis-ian inclinations. And unlike Bramptons Centre and North, it saw a Lib majority in '15.
06/06/19 seasaw
I agree with Right Honourable Adult on this one. Historically, Peel riding's have been somewhat opposites of Halton ridings, in Halton, the Tory wins are always big, Liberal wins are often close, in Peel, it's the other way around. So, we have to wait till closer to election day to predict this riding
07/04/19 Right Honourable Adult
I think it's time to start shifting these into TCTC territory with the way things are going. Yes, there is six months to go until the election. Yes, the Conservatives have an uncanny record of grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory, etc. But, if I'm not mistaken, it takes time and a proper reset to right the ship before it smashes into the rock, and right now it's the Liberals playing the role of the bumblers that the Tories have traditionally played. With that all said, most of Peel should be put into the ??? column till around September.
08/03/19 Sam
This could go Conservative but the Liberals won a majority last time and so a larger swing is required. The Conservatives will win this either if they find a great candidate or if their nationwide performance will win them a majority.

Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster