Attwal, Sunny
	Braniff, Michele
	Couto, Manuel
	Hamilton, Scott
	Haskell, David
	May, Bryan
	McMorrow, George
Incumbent:
	Bryan May

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			115463 111693 44432 43335 346.97 km² 332.8/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Bryan May	23024	43.20%
	Gary Goodyear **	20613	38.60%
	Bobbi Stewart	7397	13.90%
	Michele Braniff	1723	3.20%
	Lee Sperduti	474	0.90%
	Manuel Couto	108	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		23644	52.74%
		12512	27.91%
		6923	15.44%
		1614	3.60%
Other		134	0.30%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Cambridge    (98.46% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Brant    (1.54% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Belinda Karahalios	17793	36.97%
	Marjorie Knight	15639	32.49%
	Kathryn Mcgarry *	11191	23.25%
	Michele Braniff	3018	6.27%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		15291	38.92%
		12769	32.50%
		8513	21.67%
		2203	5.61%
Other		512	1.30%

	21/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
I'm going with a CPC pickup here in 2019. Seems like this was a surprise loss for them in 2015. New CPC candidate here but he is well known and he'll win the seat back.
	18/10/19	M K 72.38.99.194
Surprised no one feels comfortable making a call here. Despite Liberal support being down overall from 2015 federally, most of Ontario is pretty unhappy with Doug Ford's PCs. That's spilled over into bad polling for Scheer's Conservatives in Ontario. I don't think it'll be a huge margin of victory, but I'm calling a hold for Bryan May and the Liberals.
	13/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
This was a surprise liberal pick up in 2015 as Gary Goodyear had been the mp since 2004 and won the riding by large margins as a conservative. There was also a surprise liberal win here provincially in 2014 than it returned to the pc’s in 2018. The cpc also has a new candidate this year, Sunny Attwal won the nomination earlier this year. Scheer has campaigned in the riding so far but unsure if any other leaders have.
	28/08/19	Sam 89.105.107.218
Re A.S - most of those projections were made when this should've been an obvious gain for the CPC. I'm with Seasaw's 'things can change' because they have done. This is a closer fight now, and I wouldn't be surprised if May won, for reasons other than being told he might.
	17/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Once again, the Ford (+ Obama-Trump) phenomenon seems to have led too many EPPers to over-equate blue-collar with Con support--and actually, nomination controversy or no, what's so surprising about 2018's close provincial result? Losing to the Liberals in 2014 was more surprising, and the SW Ontario Ford Tory steamroller was really more of a non-metropolitan phenomenon, and it just so happens that Cambridge also has a reasonably strong *NDP* tradition which, bolstered by the Andrea wave, was all but predestined to press the PCs close. (And even the Lib incumbent saved some dignity in her 3rd-place defeat, and went on to be Mayor that fall.) And whether as a leapfrog GTA bedroom community or just as an increasingly integrated part of the Waterloo Region conurbation, Cambridge is just getting more metropolitan, more cosmopolitan, and less 'obviously' low-hanging for CPC. And even its right-leaning patterns in the past were more the byproduct of historically weak Liberal infrastructure locally--something that no longer monolithically pertains quite like it used to (thus 2014's provincial steal). So if another Con bites the dust at the hands of Bryan May, don't say I didn't warn you...
	16/06/19	Craig 24.213.108.184
Too close to call. Demographics have been changing significantly this decade in Cambridge, going from a more working class riding to a more mixed/somewhat white-collar riding with GTA commuters and technology employees who would be naturally Liberal. That has only intensified since 2015. The provincial results did involve controversy, but how much of the PC struggles were truly among them? For those reason, I'd say this is a tossup. The Conservatives should easily win the North Dumfries part of the riding, but urban Cambridge may stay with the Liberals. It's definitely going to be a top Conservative target though, but is the change too much for them or is there enough of the blue-collar population left?
	21/05/19	Qui sait 192.197.178.2
Seasaw has it: the Tories won provincially here in spite of themselves. They'll take this federally. Goodyear narrowly defeated the Liberal incumbent in 2004 even though Ontario as a whole went solidly Liberal. Something similar will happen here this time even if the Liberals form government again. The NDP hasn’t nominated a total dud, so I expect their vote share will go up at least a bit here. That can only help the Tories.
	18/05/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
@Stevo, The only thing surprising about 2018 provincial election in this riding was that the Tories won. With their controversial nomination, the infighting and not a proper campaign team, they managed to pull it off. None of the shenanigans, exits in this election and that's why this seat will revert back to the CPC.
	30/04/19	Stevo 165.225.76.101
The surprisingly close 2018 provincial results demonstrate how much Cambridge has changed over the past decade. Even in an election during which the provincial PCs steamrolled over southwestern Ontario they only managed a 4-point victory here. Despite gentrification, Cambridge remains one of the more working-class/blue-collar cities in the province and it is hard to see the Liberals hanging on here if they fail to win a majority or strong minority nationally. TCTC for now.
	13/04/19	OttawaGuy94 184.146.168.170
This seat is definitely going back to the Conservatives unless they start crashing. Attwal is a likeable and locally popular business owner who is involved in a lot of charitable causes in the area too.
	12/04/19	Sam 86.188.98.74
It's hard to believe that Bryan May won here by as much as he did, and I don't think he can hold it against a candidate like Sandeep Attwal, who was recently selected here. If anything, whereas Kitchener-Conestoga and South haven't looked great for the Conservatives (although I think they will win both,) Cambridge has always been better except in 2015 - they defied the odds to win here and next door in Brantford in 2018. With a more industrial and exurban feel here, this territory is very fertile for the Conservatives. TCTC may be the call for now, but I suspect it will change.
	03/04/19	Right Honourable Adult 208.124.154.2
With the Liberals now scorching their incumbent advantage, look for this to go back to the blue column in the fall. While more urban professional than the Gary Goodyear era, Cambridge is still a mix of industry and Protestant culture which will bring enough voters back to the Conservatives as long as they run a half-decent campaign.
	04/03/19	Kumar Patel 174.112.172.78
TCTC between the LPC and CPC. Cambridge is not the blue collar town it once was. It has changed over the last 10-15 years with young professionals living in Cambridge while commuting to Waterloo or Mississauga for work.
	03/03/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
The Liberals won a close race the last election and that was at a time when Justin Trudeau was at his peak. Now, with a government deep in scandal and a leadership on shaky grounds, this should revert back