Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Haldimand-Norfolk
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:51:47
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Eggink, Lily

Finley, Diane

Forbes, Bob

Huffman, Kim

Martin, Brooke

Roberts, Adrienne

Stewart, Harold


Incumbent:

Diane Finley

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

109652
108051

48192
43509

2859.09 km²
38.4/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Diane Finley ** 2471444.10%
Joan Mouland 2048736.60%
John Harris 762513.60%
Wayne Ettinger 18573.30%
Dave Bylsma 8841.60%
Dustin Wakeford 2720.50%
Leslie Bory 1510.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2565550.94%
1006219.98%
1254924.92%
16653.31%
Other 4350.86%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Haldimand-Norfolk
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Toby Barrett * 2888957.1%
Danielle Du Sablon 1360926.9%
Dan Matten 46569.2%
Anne Faulkner 20954.14%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

833119.72%
2206652.22%
978623.16%
20714.90%


21/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
Finley' running again surprised me, what won't surprise anyone will be when she is re-elected tomorrow.
06/10/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
Diane Finley has been mp for this riding for some time , somehow it made the list of ridings polled by mainstreet and result showed the cpc ahead.
large lead for Tories in Haldimand-Norfolk: Mainstreet pollsBy Jolson Lim. Published on Oct 5, 2019 2:19pm
https://ipolitics.ca/2019/10/05/close-race-in-miramichi-grand-lake-large-lead-for-tories-in-haldimand-norfolk-mainstreet-polls/
18/08/20 A.S.
99.225.32.21
Provincially, it's even *more* conservative than neighbouring ridings--that Diane Finley's never quite kicked into the same high gear reflects how she's a bit too Conservative-establishment for a riding more disposed t/w Toby Barrett populism. But given the riding's primarily agricultural nature and lack of large urban centres, if it couldn't have switched in '15 under Finley, it likely won't in '19, particularly w/Toby Barrett breathing down everyone's neck...
16/03/19 Sam
86.156.206.227
This isn't as Conservative as some of the neighbouring ridings, but it's Conservative enough that a strong incumbent like Diane Finley can win again.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Like much of rural Southwestern Ontario, pretty solidly Tory so unless the PPC gets in the double digits, they should easily hold this.



Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster