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Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:51:57
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Balfour, Gene

Doyle, Barbara

Forbes, Judi

Fraser, Elizabeth

Schmale, Jamie


Incumbent:

Jamie Schmale

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

113956
110217

67863
47279

7890.12 km²
14.4/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Jamie Schmale 2771844.80%
David Marquis 1963431.80%
Mike Perry 1201219.40%
Bill MacCallum 24704.00%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3284160.04%
1206822.06%
703012.85%
27605.05%
Other 00.00%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Laurie Scott * 3240656.71%
Zac Miller 1514226.5%
Brooklynne Cramp-Waldinsperger 56559.9%
Lynn Therien 25514.46%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1687235.27%
1927840.30%
963520.14%
20484.28%


02/10/19 Rural Roots
72.39.216.189
The only possible upset here,will be if Schmale fails to garner more than 50% of the vote. He has been tireless in visiting every part of the riding. With his background in broadcasting,he has been tasked with asking questions of Trudeau & others on many occasions during Q.P. The other Partys have nominated little known candidates,fully aware that this riding will remain blue.
27/09/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
Jamie Schmale is somewhat of a rookie mp who had a low profile in Ottawa but this riding is so conservative he should be able to hold it this year.
15/08/20 A.S.
99.225.32.21
I'm not sure; but this *might* have been the only Ontario riding where the Liberals were sub-40% in 1993, 1997, *and* 2000. And by "Mulcair's Ontario" standards, the NDP did extraordinarily well here in 2015--not that that foretells anything presently...
16/03/19 Sam
86.156.206.227
The Conservatives had a relatively bad result here last time, but they still won with 44% of the vote. They should do very well here again.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
A boring rural Tory stronghold, only interest is due they get over 50% or not, not whether they win this or not.



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