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Milton
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-02-25 20:59:55
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Raitt, Lisa

van Koeverden, Adam


Incumbent:

Lisa Raitt

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

114093
88065

36988
35607

446.55 km²
255.5/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Lisa Raitt ** 2237845.40%
Azim Rizvee 1994040.40%
Alex Anabusi 536610.90%
Mini Batra 11312.30%
Chris Jewell 4931.00%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1863055.05%
559316.53%
818424.18%
13103.87%
Other 1270.38%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Halton
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Parm Gill 1824941.67%
Indira Naidoo-Harris * 1306429.83%
Brendan Smyth 974022.24%
Eleanor Hayward 22005.02%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1396443.09%
1217137.56%
467214.42%
11613.58%
Other 4371.35%


04/03/19 Random Voter
24.141.143.169
Lisa Raitt is now the Deputy CPC Leader, so has remained a high-profile MP this term as a result. The Liberals may be running Olympian Adam van Koeverden, but he's paddling upstream in this race.
Conservative hold.
03/03/19 MF
69.159.84.69
Since Lisa Raitt survived the red wave of 2015, I think she will be re-elected this year unless the Tories completely go off the rails.
24/02/19 seasaw
99.225.244.232
For Lisa Raitt to lose here, it would require a major red wave, and at the moment, I can't see it happening, sure the Liberals have a high profile candidate, but he is likely to finish with the silver medal here
22/02/19 Kumar Patel
174.112.172.78
Toss up. Could be one of the few Liberal pick ups outside of Quebec.
The demographics of Milton has changed quite a bit over the last 15 years. It will likely vote the way the some of hte Mississauga ridings will vote.
Lisa Raitt is a popular incumbent, but the Liberals are fielding a star candidate with Adam van Koeverden.



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