Damoff, Pam
	Dion, Nicolas
	Houghton, Michael
	Jubinville, Gilbert Joseph
	Weir, Sean
Incumbent:
	Pam Damoff

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			129078 114378 42559 41850 87.16 km² 1480.9/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Pam Damoff	28415	46.70%
	Effie Triantafilopoulos	26342	43.30%
	Janice Best	4405	7.20%
	Adnan Shahbaz	968	1.60%
	David Clement	666	1.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		25369	54.16%
		7264	15.51%
		12632	26.97%
		1453	3.10%
Other		122	0.26%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Halton    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Effie Triantafilopoulos	25691	46.41%
	Saima Zaidi	13496	24.38%
	Alvin Tedjo	13487	24.37%
	Marianne Workman	2052	3.71%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		19644	46.14%
		15671	36.81%
		4998	11.74%
		1441	3.38%
Other		824	1.93%

	17/09/19	Dr. Bear 157.52.15.81
I concur that this will likely be a conservative gain. While the CPC is currently polling slightly worse than what they did in the 2015 election, the Liberals are polling even further behind (albeit regaining ground as time progresses). If this holds true, then close 2015 races will flip blue (especially without a large pool of NDP voters for the Liberals to draw from).
	11/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Right Honourable Adult has things backwards re ONB's "more Oakville than Burlington" quality; at this point, the riding's more CPC-compatible than *either* Oakville *or* Burlington, and that's directly due to its "nouveau affluent" characteristics, i.e. it's really more comparable to a York Region boomburb riding than the comparative "settledness" of its southern neighbours. (Indeed, the currently most comparable part of Oakville riding, Joshua Creek, is trending even more to the Cons than their traditional Eastlake stronghold.) Whether that actually carries through to the ballot box remains to be seen, and probably depends on how the new north-of-Dundas suburban frontier swings federally. It certainly was a shock in this kind of riding last year when the provincial NDP nearly tied the Libs for second--and yet the Lib candidate's now running for the provincial leadership...
	16/07/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
@Kumar Patel. The unpopularity of a premier hasn't always resulted in a federal party doing poorly, so it may or may not be a big factor. One also has to remember that the PM isn't that much more popular than the premier and this election may be more focu
	10/07/19	Kumar Patel 99.254.33.154
I'm unconvinced that is a lock for the Conservatives. Doug Ford's unpopularity and weak NDP numbers should help the Liberal cause.
	29/04/19	Sam 86.139.26.115
I wasn't expecting this to be called ahead of some of the others, but nevertheless I understand why it was. I agree with the admin and other posters, these low-hanging fruit are no longer the battleground despite their closeness, even with Pam Damoff as one of the stronger Liberal MPs. The Liberals would be better off investing into the Mississauga ridings or the other Oakville riding at this point; even if they held their current total they'd probably lose this, good candidacies like here and in King-Vaughan will not be enough.
	21/04/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
A prediction made on today's polls which might change as we get close to the voting day. The Liberals barely won the last time and that was a great year for them. We don't know if they'll be able to repeat their performance this time around. If the CPC were to pick up just one seat in Halton, this one would be it.
	17/04/19	Right Honourable Adult 108.162.188.167
A riding that is more Oakville in culture than Burlington for, as you go past the QEW, all of Halton begins to look nuveau affluent. Even still, the Liberals didn't pick this up by much last go around and don't have Eve Adams around this time to make the other side look so petty. On the average, the riding isn't quite as conservative as Burlington, but is prime terriTory nonetheless!
	04/03/19	Random Voter 24.141.143.169
Too early to tell, but I'm guessing the Conservatives have a slight lead in ONB for now. They lost last time without an incumbent candidate on the ballot by only 3.4% - that doesn't leave much wiggle room for the Liberals. Also, the Ontario PC Party won this riding by 22% last year.