D'Angelo, Tony
	Dowdall, Terry
	Jackson, Sherri
	Kenney, Lorne
	Matthews, Ilona
	Sommer, Richard
Incumbent:
	Kellie Leitch

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			129944 116307 61293 51086 1863.34 km² 69.7/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Kellie Leitch **	30612	46.60%
	Mike MacEachern	25352	38.60%
	David Matthews	6332	9.60%
	JoAnne Fleming	2923	4.40%
	Len Noordegraaf	528	0.80%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		26765	48.44%
		9631	17.43%
		7000	12.67%
		3059	5.54%
Other		8807	15.94%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Simcoe-Grey    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Jim Wilson *	34094	55.93%
	David Matthews	13444	22.05%
	Dan Hambly	8780	14.4%
	Jesseca Perry	4192	6.88%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		14296	30.40%
		22288	47.39%
		6739	14.33%
		3707	7.88%

	20/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
This riding has had its share of ? MP's in the past. This yr. there is no incumbent but I think the CPC hold the seat.
	02/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Kellie Leitch decided to not run again although cpc quickly nominated a new candidate Terry Dowdall who had been mayor of Essa township a small municipality in the riding. The riding likely stay conservative although interesting to see how the green’s do in these ridings.
	08/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Leitch's "toxicity" is no worse than Doug Ford's was last year; and it didn't stop Jim Wilson last year, nor would Jim Wilson's subsequent ejection from caucus stop Leitch's successor this year. And sure, "Leitchism" *could* logically deflect off into PPC support--though I don't know whether their running a former Libertarian candidate is the way to do it...
	29/05/19	Craig 24.213.108.184
Simcoe-Grey has long been a Conservative seat as long as the right was united. It's unclear how Kellie Leitch's departure will play though - her anti-immigration views would likely have fans here especially as you move south from Highway 26. However, there are many retirees from the GTA in the resort towns who would likely find it too toxic. Regardless, Terry Dowdall appears to be a better fit overall, which should get the Conservatives back up over 50% (and closer to what Jim Wilson got in 2018). The national Liberal campaign is not well-liked here especially with SNC-Lavalin. Should be a Conservative hold no matter what.
	12/04/19	Sam 86.188.98.74
I disagree that Kellie Leitch was unpopular here, but otherwise I agree with @M. Lunn's analysis. This has become a blue area and it should stay blue.
	24/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
This is a pretty safe Conservative riding and with Kellie Leitch not running again (she was probably too toxic for Collingwood, Blue Mountains, and Wasaga Beach where you have a lot of well to do GTA transplants) should make this even more solidly Tory.