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Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:05:20
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Godon, Frank

Johnson, Jenni

Lewycky, Laverne

Mazier, Dan

Scofield-Singh, Cathy

Storey, Kate


Incumbent:

Robert Sopuck

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

87527
87374

41384
34499

50818.98 km²
1.7/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Robert Sopuck ** 1927646.30%
Ray Piché 1227629.50%
Laverne M. Lewycky 509712.30%
Inky Mark 33578.10%
Kate Storey 15923.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2221264.52%
854024.80%
21806.33%
14704.27%
Other 270.08%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette
   (85.61% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Brandon-Souris
   (10.09% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Portage-Lisgar
   (4.31% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


21/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
No incumbent here but I think the CPC will hold on to this riding.
14/09/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
No incumbent as Robert Sopuck retired but been a fairly reliable conservative riding , provincial seats also stayed pc even as northern Manitoba went ndp .
31/08/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
Remember that Sopuck was up against *two* former MPs in 2015 (Mark & Lewycky)--and he still chalked up 46%. Back in the not-terribly-long-ago days when the NDP and Liberals were actually competitive hereabouts, 46% would have been high par for the PCs. Such is rural Prairie electoral sorting.
21/06/19 Laurence Putnam
96.53.49.70
Regardless of national outcome, Tories should be flirting with 60% here.
16/03/19 Sam
86.156.206.227
The Conservatives only look as if they dropped substantially because of Inky Mark's candidacy. Even with a great MP in Robert Sopuck retiring, they will win big here.
23/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
Rural Manitoba which outside the north is solidly Tory so easy Tory hold.



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