Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:05:48

Constituency Profile


Bezan, James

James, Wayne

Kathwaroon, Ian

Regelsky, Detlev

Smith, Robert A.


James Bezan

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



19224.98 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

James Bezan ** 2561751.90%
Joanne Levy 1550831.40%
Deborah Chief 564911.40%
Wayne James 17073.50%
Donald L. Grant 8821.80%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 530.12%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (90.68% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (9.32% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

21/10/19 Tony Ducey
A Conservative riding even in the Chretien years. Bezan's very high profile as well. He'll get re-elected and be a minister if Scheer forms government.
07/10/19 R.O.
James Bezan has been mp for a while , the riding has been held by right of centre parties for some time. He would seem to have the advantage this year
13/09/19 A.S.
Maybe the forces of the left (wherever they may land) might see faint hope in the fact that the provincial NDP did ‘credibly’--and perhaps recoverably so--in some of their former Selkirk-to-Gimli strongholds. Except that even that only about matches '15's Liberal performance at best--and said performance was more ‘galvanized’ than ‘divided’, when all is said and done.
22/07/19 Laurence Putnam
Bezan took down a former Governor General 10 years ago and smoked the Liberal candidate by 20 points in Trudeau's big red wave year. There is no possibility of him losing this time as a well-ensconced, popular incumbent. More likely than not, he'll be re-elected with 60% of the vote.
16/03/19 Sam
The Conservatives still did well here last time despite losing the province, and the fundamentals of this district mean that that won't be reversed. James Bezan should win again.
23/02/19 M. Lunn
Rural Manitoba so if Tories could survive 2015 meltdown they should hold this one.

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